Original Research

Age and full blood count parameters predict survival in acute myeloid leukaemia at a Cape Town tertiary academic centre

Keshanya Moodley, Erica-Mari Nell, Fatima B. Fazel, Anel van Zyl, Leilah Schoonraad, Zivanai C. Chapanduka
South African Journal of Oncology | Vol 10 | a363 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/sajo.v10i0.363 | © 2026 Keshanya Moodley, Erica-Mari Nell, Fatima B. Fazel, Anel van Zyl, Leilah Schoonraad, Zivanai C. Chapanduka | This work is licensed under Other
Submitted: 03 November 2025 | Published: 13 August 2026

About the author(s)

Keshanya Moodley, Division of Haematological Pathology, Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; and Department of Haematology, National Health Laboratory Service, Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
Erica-Mari Nell, Division of Haematological Pathology, Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; and Department of Haematology, National Health Laboratory Service, Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
Fatima B. Fazel, Division of Clinical Haematology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; and Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
Anel van Zyl, Division of Paediatric Oncology, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; and Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Paediatrics, Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
Leilah Schoonraad, Division of Paediatric Oncology, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; and Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Paediatrics, Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
Zivanai C. Chapanduka, Division of Haematological Pathology, Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; and Department of Haematology, National Health Laboratory Service, Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa

Abstract

Background: Acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) is a common and aggressive haematological neoplasm. Limited studies of AML in South Africa have shown differences in age at diagnosis and overall survival (OS) compared to international studies.
Aim: To determine the demographics, subtype and OS of AML.
Setting: The study was conducted at the National Health Laboratory Service at Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa.
Methods: Patients with newly diagnosed AML from 2015 to 2018 were identified. The diagnostic subtype and prognostic group for each AML was determined. Survival analysis was performed.
Results: Ninety patients were included. The median age of adults was 54 years (interquartile range [IQR] 38 years – 65 years, n = 77), and for children was 2 years (IQR 2 years – 7 years, n = 13). The male-to-female ratio was 1:1.4. Acute promyelocytic leukaemia (21%) and AML myelodysplasia related (19%) were the commonest subtypes. The 3-year OS in children, adults < 60 years and adults ≥ 60 years was 46%, 21% and 3%, respectively. Adverse risk group increased risk of death (p = 0.003, n = 38). Age, white cell count and platelet count were independent risk factors for death.
Conclusion: In contrast to high-income countries, our findings show a younger age at AML diagnosis, a female predominance and a lower OS. Age and full blood count (FBC) parameters are important predictors for OS.
Contribution: The findings complement other studies published in South Africa, showing younger age at diagnosis and inferior OS of AML, while highlighting the importance of FBC findings.


Keywords

acute myeloid leukaemia; South Africa; Africa; survival; Cape Town; leukemia

Sustainable Development Goal

Goal 3: Good health and well-being

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